Predictions Come Home to Roost

A poor final week of predicting hurt our overall record, making us practically equivalent to flipping a coin. In review, we strayed from any one method of making our picks, which led to wild week-to-week swings in results.

Our Record Last Week: 0-3 (0%)
Our Final Record Overall: 38-34 (52.8%)

In review of our pre-season standings predictions and subsequent mid-season check-up we have some things to gloat about and some things to answer for.

What We Got Correct

Our pre-season predictions selected the correct three teams in the West to make the playoffs. In the East, we picked Montreal for first place correctly. At the mid-way point, we adjusted our East predictions to nail the final finishing order of Montreal, Toronto and Winnipeg. We made no adjustments at the mid-way point in the West, so again correctly picked the teams but not their finishing order.

Our major accomplishment was picking the Edmonton Eskimos to miss the playoffs from the start of the season. We also correctly predicted that there would be no crossover for playoff positions this year.

What We Got Wrong

Our pre-season predictions incorrectly picked Calgary for first in the West, Saskatchewan for second, and B.C. for third. This was never in danger of happening all year, although Calgary did have a chance at first until late in the year. In the East, we mistakenly picked Hamilton for second place, ahead of Toronto. At the halfway point, we stuck with our West predictions, despite the standings, and again misplaced B.C. from first to third.

A major oversight was stating the rewritten No Yards rules would have the most affect on the league this year. In fact, the new return blocking rules affected the game the most, reducing kick return touchdowns and yardage, resulting directly in a huge scoring drop from previous years.

Conclusion

Our experiment in publishing our predictions this year is now over. We are reviewing the experience and weekly previews may return in the future in an adjusted form.

3 Responses to “Predictions Come Home to Roost”

  1. Bill Says:

    Hindsight is 20/20 :)

    Who would have thought that there would hardly be any returns of any kind?
    I don’t like those new blocking rules.

    I even heard that the Howell punt return TD had a block that was obvious and should have been called but didn’t actually see it.
    Anyone catch it? Really that bad/obvious?

    Or just someone not happy enough with the rider win? :)

  2. Jon Says:

    Bill: I remember them saying at the half or something, showing it a second time and saying “see there, an illegal block”, but it must have been off screen or something because all I saw was somebody flying across the screen.

  3. Bill Says:

    I think I heard or read somewhere it was #22 (Cherniawski) that got blocked.
    But no biggie – we won :)

OC Jottings

No jottings in the last 7 days. Here is a random jotting.

  • August 21, 2007
    Reporter Makes Incorrect Statement About Kickoff Scoring → Not exactly true:

    The CFL has quietly stopped awarding a point for kickoffs that go into or through the endzone.

    As far as I remember, this has been in place for a few years now. The CFL wouldn’t silently stop awarding points unless the rule was changed this year and I know it wasn’t on the list of 2007 changes. I couldn’t track down a rule books to prove when it was changed, though. Anyone have any idea when this changed? #
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